TY - JOUR
T1 - Vulnerability of bat–plant pollination interactions due to environmental change
AU - Zamora-Gutierrez, Veronica
AU - Rivera-Villanueva, A. Nayelli
AU - Martínez Balvanera, Santiago
AU - Castro-Castro, Arturo
AU - Aguirre-Gutiérrez, Jesús
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2021 The Authors. Global Change Biology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
PY - 2021/7
Y1 - 2021/7
N2 - Plant–pollinator interactions are highly relevant to society as many crops important for humans are animal pollinated. However, changes in climate and land use may put such interacting patterns at risk by disrupting the occurrences between pollinators and the plants they pollinate. Here, we analyse how the co-occurrence patterns be-tween bat pollinators and 126 plant species they pollinate may be disrupted given changes in climate and land use, and we forecast relevant changes of the current bat–plant co-occurrence distribution patterns for the near future. We predict under RCP8.5 21% of the territory will experience a loss of bat species richness, plants with C3 metabolism are predicted to reduce their area of distribution by 6.5%, CAM spe-cies are predicted to increase their potential area of distribution up to 1% and phan-erophytes are predicted to have a 14% reduction in their distribution. The potential bat–plant interactions are predicted to decrease from an average of 47.1 co-occurring bat–plant pairs in the present to 34.1 in the pessimistic scenario. The overall changes in suitable environmental conditions for bats and the plant species they pollinate may disrupt the current bat–plant co-occurrence network and will likely put at risk the pol-lination services bat species provide.
AB - Plant–pollinator interactions are highly relevant to society as many crops important for humans are animal pollinated. However, changes in climate and land use may put such interacting patterns at risk by disrupting the occurrences between pollinators and the plants they pollinate. Here, we analyse how the co-occurrence patterns be-tween bat pollinators and 126 plant species they pollinate may be disrupted given changes in climate and land use, and we forecast relevant changes of the current bat–plant co-occurrence distribution patterns for the near future. We predict under RCP8.5 21% of the territory will experience a loss of bat species richness, plants with C3 metabolism are predicted to reduce their area of distribution by 6.5%, CAM spe-cies are predicted to increase their potential area of distribution up to 1% and phan-erophytes are predicted to have a 14% reduction in their distribution. The potential bat–plant interactions are predicted to decrease from an average of 47.1 co-occurring bat–plant pairs in the present to 34.1 in the pessimistic scenario. The overall changes in suitable environmental conditions for bats and the plant species they pollinate may disrupt the current bat–plant co-occurrence network and will likely put at risk the pol-lination services bat species provide.
KW - Chiroptera
KW - Mexico
KW - bat traits
KW - climate change
KW - habitat suitability
KW - land use change
KW - plant traits
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85104143577&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1111/gcb.15611
DO - 10.1111/gcb.15611
M3 - Artículo
C2 - 33749983
AN - SCOPUS:85104143577
SN - 1354-1013
VL - 27
SP - 3367
EP - 3382
JO - Global Change Biology
JF - Global Change Biology
IS - 14
ER -