Impacto sectorial en la economía mexicana ante una reducción en la inversión extranjera directa proveniente de Estados Unidos

This chapter presents a multisectoral model based on social accounting matrices that allows analyzing the economic impact generated in the different productive sectors in the face of a reduction in foreign direct investment by the United States towards Mexico. The model considers the proportion of investment that goes to the Mexican productive sectors during 2016 and determines the percentage of variation of the total output if these amounts are not invested in the Mexican economy. Among the main results, US foreign direct investment to Mexico represents 35.70% of total foreign direct investment received from all trading partners, so a 40% reduction in that investment would have a negative impact on the Mexican economy, which would see its output reduced by 1.45%, undermining the viability of the country’s public finances.