Associative model for the forecasting of time series based on the gamma classifier

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Resumen

The paper describes a novel associative model for the forecasting of time series in petroleum engineering. The model is based on the Gamma classifier, which is inspired on the Alpha-Beta associative memories, taking the alpha and beta operators as basis for the gamma operator. The objective is to reproduce and predict future oil production in different scenarios in an adjustable time window. The distinctive features of the experimental data set are spikes, abrupt changes and frequent discontinuities, which considerably decrease the precision of traditional forecasting methods. As experimental results show, this classifier-based predictor exhibits competitive performance. The advantages and limitations of the model, as well as lines of improvement, are discussed.

Idioma originalInglés
Título de la publicación alojadaPattern Recognition - 5th Mexican Conference, MCPR 2013, Proceedings
Páginas304-313
Número de páginas10
DOI
EstadoPublicada - 2013
Evento5th Mexican Conference on Pattern Recognition, MCPR 2013 - Queretaro, México
Duración: 26 jun. 201329 jun. 2013

Serie de la publicación

NombreLecture Notes in Computer Science (including subseries Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence and Lecture Notes in Bioinformatics)
Volumen7914 LNCS
ISSN (versión impresa)0302-9743
ISSN (versión digital)1611-3349

Conferencia

Conferencia5th Mexican Conference on Pattern Recognition, MCPR 2013
País/TerritorioMéxico
CiudadQueretaro
Período26/06/1329/06/13

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