Resumen
Statistical results of federal deputies' elections by political party were analyzed, observing a normal distribution for the major parties and a heavy tails distribution for the minor parties and/or with disappearing tendencies. The heavy tails distribution that particularly predominated was the log-logistic type. With the alpha shape parameter of the log-logistic distribution minor to two, we found that the small parties tend to disappear. Probabilistic simulations were realized in a model with two parties and with different distributions (normal and log-logistic) and we found that, indeed, the log-logistic distribution party with its alpha parameter minor to two tends to win a few times in an election. Therefore, this produces a loss of supporters over time.
Idioma original | Inglés |
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Estado | Publicada - 2009 |
Evento | 21st European Modeling and Simulation Symposium, EMSS 2009 - Puerto de la Cruz, Espana Duración: 23 sep. 2009 → 25 sep. 2009 |
Conferencia
Conferencia | 21st European Modeling and Simulation Symposium, EMSS 2009 |
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País/Territorio | Espana |
Ciudad | Puerto de la Cruz |
Período | 23/09/09 → 25/09/09 |